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Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 08:31
by Cav
So who's getting poisoned in the Belarus-situated Russia/Ukraine negotiations?

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 09:54
by StMarks
Cav wrote:So who's getting poisoned in the Belarus-situated Russia/Ukraine negotiations?
Opportunity for the Generals that Putin was briefing yesterday, to live-test one of their tactical low yield devices.? :^

Anyway, the global sanctions that are being announced may well start to impact on the Russian economy (will be interesting to see how the Moscow exchange is effected).
However, taking ^that isolationist effect to it's logical conclusion, what will happen in Europe if Russia shuts off the gas pipelines.??

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 10:27
by Cav
What'll happen is I will have no heating except for a small electric heater. We'll all be sleeping in Benny's room.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 12:32
by D41
It seems that the UK doesn't buy much oil or gas from Russia at all......@1-in-20 barrels of each, or thereabouts.
Those pipelines that run through Ukraine supply a big chunk of the EU's natural gas, though.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 12:39
by Monty
I can't see this lasting much longer, morale doesn't look too good on the Russian side, seems like most of them thought they were on an exercise.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 12:43
by Monty
Stop the War coalition close to being able to blame Ukraine war on Tony Blair

(lol) (lol) (lol)

https://newsthump.com/2022/02/28/stop-t ... gJVPqm0XPU" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 12:47
by Kwacky
Estimates say that 500,000 people have fled Ukraine so far.

Russia seems to be using the heavier stuff today. Now MLRS attacks and there's lots of footage of helicopters and aircraft.

In not sure that the troops we've seen are a totally accurate reflection of Russia's capability. They thought Ukraine would surrender. They know that the world is watching so decided to go lightly. Using old equipment and basic troops is a good way to test the Ukraine response

The Chechens on the ground worry me. They're nasty bastards.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 16:50
by Monty
D41 wrote:It seems that the UK doesn't buy much oil or gas from Russia at all......@1-in-20 barrels of each, or thereabouts.
Those pipelines that run through Ukraine supply a big chunk of the EU's natural gas, though.
We're reliant on Norwegian gas, not Russian. But apparently, because of BREXIT Norway is now legally obliged to cut off gas supplies to the UK if the EU countries need to make up any shortfalls from Russia. You couldn't make this sh!t up.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 17:47
by StMarks
D41 wrote:It seems that the UK doesn't buy much oil or gas from Russia at all......@1-in-20 barrels of each, or thereabouts.
Those pipelines that run through Ukraine supply a big chunk of the EU's natural gas, though.
Monty wrote:
We're reliant on Norwegian gas, not Russian. But apparently, because of BREXIT Norway is now legally obliged to cut off gas supplies to the UK if the EU countries need to make up any shortfalls from Russia. You couldn't make this sh!t up.
Fwiw I was taking this into account, which is why I specifically said
StMarks wrote: ,,,,, what will happen in Europe if Russia shuts off the gas pipelines.??
Anyway, it seems most likely that, as Kwacky pointed out above:
Kwacky wrote:,,,,I'm not sure that the troops we've seen are a totally accurate reflection of Russia's capability. They thought Ukraine would surrender. They know that the world is watching so decided to go lightly....
In analysing the current situation, we should bear in mind that Putin plays the long game and plans far-far ahead. Our leaders responses are simply reactive.
Ever seen a game of chess played between players of each of those^ approaches.? ;)
Imho it seems rather improbable that he's failed to consider the possibility of this current situation.? My concern is that his parameters of "acceptable" are so far outside our expectations that we will be be responding all the way to an impasse.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 18:05
by D41
Unfortunately whenever I hear Putin's "long game" being touted as some sort visionary plan, I can't help but feel that it's another way of saying that nobody has any real idea about what Putin will do next.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 18:19
by Tuffers
Trump tweets that Putin is a genius. (tmi)

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 18:37
by Jack
Kwacky wrote:E
In not sure that the troops we've seen are a totally accurate reflection of Russia's capability. They thought Ukraine would surrender. They know that the world is watching so decided to go lightly. Using old equipment and basic troops is a good way to test the Ukraine response
A lot of the troops I have seen are 18 and 19 yr old conscripts , many have surrendered on contact .
I expect things to change when the experienced front line troops go in .

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 18:52
by duke63
Image

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 19:02
by Cav
Jack wrote:
Kwacky wrote:E
In not sure that the troops we've seen are a totally accurate reflection of Russia's capability. They thought Ukraine would surrender. They know that the world is watching so decided to go lightly. Using old equipment and basic troops is a good way to test the Ukraine response
A lot of the troops I have seen are 18 and 19 yr old conscripts , many have surrendered on contact .
I expect things to change when the experienced front line troops go in .
Puppet soldiers?

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 20:32
by D41
Old men start wars, young men fight them.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 22:12
by Kwacky
The one I know : "war is old men talking and young men dying".

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 28 Feb 2022, 22:42
by Kwacky
Fair play. He's sent over hundreds of satellite dishes to Ukraine and they've already started arriving.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 01 Mar 2022, 02:57
by kiwikrasher
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2 ... otiations/

I don't know how well he's running the country day to day, but he definitely seems to be a hit with the majority of the country.

Comedian turned Country Leader, rather than Country Leader that is just a clown (lol)

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 01 Mar 2022, 05:54
by D41
Kwacky wrote:The one I know : "war is old men talking and young men dying".
That is apparently from Homer's "The Illiad" ......whatever that is??
A play or ulta-long & boring poem, probably.
Lots of variations on a similar theme out there, it seems.

Re: Putin and the West

Posted: 01 Mar 2022, 09:01
by Cav
Not that they actually show you but it is alleged there is a 40-mile convoy of Russian military just 15 miles from the capitol.

https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-inva ... v-12554512